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MISSES PUBLISHED TOO

Alpha track record

Every coin gets one entry: the market cap it had the moment StonkScout first showed it on an Alpha screen, and the highest market cap it's reached since. The first-shown figure is written once and never revised, showing what the screens actually found rather than a highlight reel assembled after the fact. Degen Mode lists nearly every new launch, so its coins are recorded once they show real early activity (a known whale, at least 7 holders, or a holder count that could not be read) and are measured from that moment; Degen coins recorded before this bar were recorded on first sight, so Degen figures from before and after it are not directly comparable. Not a recommendation: most launches on every screen still fail.

The whole cohort, not a highlight reel

40% of these coins have no current reading yet (3 too new, 0 not checked, 13,615 with no trades since). The “last measured” figures describe the rest, which can flatter or understate the cohort.

Every coin recorded, including the ones that went to zero. “Last measured” is each coin’s latest stored reading of the market cap ÷ the market cap when first shown (most coins are read at 20 minutes, 3 hours, 1 day and 7 days, so it can be up to a day old, and it stops updating after 7 days); “best historical outcome” is the highest since. A coin can have peaked at 3x and still be down at its last reading. First shown between 2mo ago and 5m ago; median age 38d.

Median last measured

0.85x

95% range 0.85x–0.86x

Above 1x last measured

14%

95% range 14%–15%

Down over 50% last measured

24%

95% range 23%–24%

2x or more now

1%

at least double

Outcomes measured

20,654

13,618 without a reading yet

Coins in selection

34,272

Median best historical

1.01x

over 20,654 measured

Best historical 2x+

10%

doubled at some point

By screenMinimum sample:any 10+30+100+

Outcomes by Alpha screen
Screen	Coins	Measured	Median last measured	Above 1x last measured	Down >50% now	Median best historical
Top New · Degen Mode	31,711	18,128	0.88x	15%	16%	1.01x
Top New	2,099	2,092	0.15x	6%	88%	1.05x
Overlooked	319	317	0.62x	21%	40%	1.61x
Potential CTO	78	52	0.96x	44%	4%	1.13x
Graduating	65	65	0.28x	8%	83%	1.00x

Past outcomes of coins these screens surfaced, not a prediction for any coin shown now. Multiples are market-cap moves before any trading costs; token taxes, price impact and fees would lower what a trader actually kept.

Tracking since 2mo ago · 34,272 coins recorded so far, all ranked here. Peak-since figures come from Jupiter market-cap candles (15-minute resolution for the first ~10 days, hourly beyond that), read in the background. A coin that has doubled at any read is re-read every 30 minutes for its first 6 hours, every 2 hours to 2 days and twice a day to 7 days; the rest are read when they can first have a candle and again at 3 hours, 1 day and 7 days. Each read covers the whole time since the coin was first shown, and the last one, at 7 days, makes its peak final. A peak that is a single candle towering over the candles around it, with almost nothing traded behind it, is treated as a bad price print and passed over for the next highest; when that rule was added, coins already recorded at 3x or more were read again under it, so a few multiples came down. 34,269 of 34,272 read so far; a coin without a reading says why, never a guessed number.

All New Overlooked DEGEN MODE

Best historical outcome Current multiple

Any age 1d+ old 3d+ old 7d+ old

Showing 1–100 of 34,272

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